Demographic Jihad by the Numbers:
Getting a Handle on the True Scope
2 June 2007 ©Yoel Natan
Author of the book Moon-o-theism
I. Introduction
► Case #1: A Pew Research Poll in 2007 Says 26% of Young Adult Muslim-Americans Support Suicide Bombing
► Case #2: Infidels Supposedly Have Nothing to Fear from Muslims, Yet Muslims Inexplicably Fear Being Takfired, That Is, Being Declared Infidels
► The Size of the Minority of Muslims and the Quality of Life Index
Countries discussed in some detail (if a country is not listed here, it likely is mentioned in passing, and can be found using the browser Search function):
Afghanistan Africa Albania Algeria Argentina Australia Austria Azerbaijan Bangladesh Belgium Belize Benin Bosnia-Herzegovina & the Republika Srpska Britain (United Kingdom) Canada Chechnya China Cote d'Ivoire (Ivory Coast) Cyprus Czech Republic Denmark East Timor Egypt Eritrea Estonia Ethiopia Europe France French Guiana Germany Global Greece Greenland Guyana Horn of Africa/Somalia India Indonesia Iran Iraq Ireland & North Ireland (UK) Islamdom Israel Italy Japan Jordan Kosovo Lebanon Macedonia Malaysia Mexico Mideast Mongolia Montenegro Morocco Netherlands Nigeria North America Norway Oman Pakistan Palestine (West Bank and Gaza) Philippines Russia Saudi Arabia Serbia Singapore South Africa South America South Asia Spain Sri Lanka Sudan Suriname Sweden Switzerland Syria Tajikistan Thailand Tri-Border Region, aka Triple Frontier, Trinidad & Tobago Islands Turkey Ukraine United States Western Sahara Yemen
Note: For maps and population information, see Yoel Natan’s “Christian and Muslim Demographics,” May 2007 PDF (>8MB).
► Algeria, Benin, Cote d'Ivoire (Ivory Coast), Eritrea, Ethiopia, Horn of Africa/Somalia, Morocco, Nigeria, South Africa, Sudan, Western Sahara
► Some Anticipate a Eurabian Civil War
► Anti-Semitism Increasingly an Islamic Phenomenon
► Albania, Austria, Azerbaijan, Belgium, Bosnia-Herzegovina & the Republika Srpska
► Britain (United Kingdom):
o Radical Muslim Attitudes in the Anglosphere
▪ In the United States
▪ Anti-Semiticism in the UK
o More on Muslims in the UK
► Chechnya, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland & North Ireland (UK), Italy, Kosovo, Macedonia, Montenegro, Netherlands, Norway, Russia, Serbia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Ukraine
► The Global Jihad
► The Bloody Borders and Innards of Islamdom
► The Diminishing Population of Christians in the Mideast
► Israel
o Judaism’s Four Holy Cities
o Jerusalem Demographics
o Jewish Anti-Missionaries
o General Religious Info
o Messianic Jews
► Jordan, Lebanon, Oman, Palestine (West Bank and Gaza), Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, Yemen
► Canada, Greenland, Mexico, United States
► Summary: Argentina, Belize, French Guiana, Guyana, Suriname, Tri-Border Region, aka Triple Frontier, Trinidad & Tobago Islands (NE of Venezuela)
► Afghanistan, Australia Tajikistan
o Prislam in Australian Jails
► Bangladesh, China
o China’s Attempts to Criminalize Criticism of Islam Locally and Globally
o China’s Gender Imbalance
► India
o The Caste System and Affirmative Action
o Recent Violence In India Proper
o Kashmir
o Indian Demographic Projections
► Japan, Malaysia, Mongolia, Pakistan, Philippines, Singapore, Sri Lanka, Thailand
I. Introduction
A. Countering the Inevitable Charge of Islamophobia
Obviously, a report like the one you are reading now will elicit cries of Islamophobia from the usual suspects, those being touchy Muslims and politically correct multiculturalists. They say that any apprehensions about mass Muslim immigration constitutes Islamophobia. Also, anyone criticizing Islam or contradicting Muslim propaganda, no matter how valid their points are, is an Islamophobe. Examples of Islamophobic deeds include:
► Saying that there are only 1m or 2m Muslims in America rather than the 8m that CAIR claims because this is just an effort to “seek to block Muslim political participation.”
► “Standing against the violent edicts of Shariah law…”
Undoubtedly, charges of racism will be lodged, but that is absurd since Islam and Islamists are not a race. To counter anticipated charges of Islamophobia, one can examine case history to see how ludicrous such charges:
Case #1 A Pew Research Poll in 2007 Says 26% of Young Adult Muslim-Americans Support Suicide Bombing
A May 2007 Pew Research survey of Muslims in the US revealed:
► “5% of US Muslims [or 117,500 out of 2.35m Muslims] expressed favorable views of the terrorist group al-Qaida, though about a fourth [a quarter of pollees] did not express an opinion.”
► 13% (305,500) of America’s 2.35m Muslims say suicide-bombings “to defend Islam” can be justified.
► 26% of Muslims under 30 years old say suicide-bombings “to defend Islam” can be justified (2% often, 13% sometimes, 11% rarely). This is a particular troubling statistic because the under-30 crowd makes up the bulk of would-be Jihadists around the world.
The May 2007 Pew Research survey did not ask exactly what “to defend Islam” meant to respondants, but 53% of American-Muslims said “it has become more difficult to be a Muslim in the U.S. since the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks.” Also, only “26% say the U.S.-led war on terror is a sincere effort to reduce international terrorism.” In other words, many American-Muslims might perceive the War on Terrorism (WoT) as an attack on Islam that had to be defended against by suicide-bombing.
To back up the contention that many American-Muslims see the WoT as an attack on Islam that must be defended by suicide bombings, Muslims overseas seem to think this way. World Public Opinion found that most Muslims see the WoT as an attempt to “weaken and divide Islam” (Morocco 78%, Egypt 92%, Pakistan 73%, Indonesia 73%). In these same four countries, many Muslims think suicide-bombings are justified (Morocco 43%, Egypt 23%, Pakistan 19%, Indonesia 16%).
Were these survey results a big concern to American Muslims? Hardly. Muslim spokespersons said that Muslims were just like mainstream Americans. To prove this, they drew comparisons between Israeli and American support for counter-terrorism efforts and Muslims’ terrorism-sympathizing and supporting attitudes, as though these lawless and lawful attitudes were just two sides of the same coin. For example:
► Hussein Ibish, executive director of the Foundation for Arab American Leadership told Newsweek that Israeli Jews approved of killing civilians the same as Muslism do:
It’s exactly the same kind of statistic you’d get if you asked young Israelis about torture, demolition of villages, assassinations—they’d say yes because they know the Israelis have done it but loathe to say it’s wrong.
► The Columbus Dispatch talked to Ahmad Al-Akhras, a Columbus, Ohio resident and national vice chairman of CAIR, and president of the Islamic Foundation of Central Ohio. Al-Akhras “called the number small,” and said:
There is no justification in Islam for targeting civilians or supporting terrorism. Those who commit these actions are committing a sin…Muslims believe that human life is sacred and that it is protected….Americans in general might be more supportive of targeted attacks on civilians, as part of the war on terror, than U.S. Muslims. A December 2006 poll by the University of Maryland-affiliated WorldPublicOpinion.org found that 24% of Americans think bombings or other attacks intentionally aimed at civilians are ‘sometimes or often justified.’[1]
The WorldPublicOpinion.org poll that Al-Akhras refers to is dated 24 Jan 2007.
Pollsters and the media generally have no interesting in familiarizing themselves with Islam, so apologists for Islam regularly take advantage of their naiveté. Such was done in the case of the Pew and World Opinion polls mentioned above. For example:
► Al-Akhras said that there was no justificatoin for terrorism, but he wouldn’t want the media to know that Islam’s top theologians have all approved of suicide-bombings, and therefore it is natural for many Muslims in America to believe likewise:
o The Mar 2002 issue of American Muslim magazine, published by the Muslim American Society’s (MAS), printed a fatwa endorsing suicide bombings against Israelis and said that the bombers were Jihadist martyrs approve by Allah. This fatwa was originally issued by “Faysal Mawlawi, deputy chairman of the European Council for fatwa and Research, headed by the “Theologian of Terror,” Youssef al-Qaradawi.”
o On 6 July 2005 “a major conference of 170 Muslim scholars from 40 countries meeting in Amman, Jordan gave an opinion” that “it is not possible to declare” that “those who issue fatwas to kill innocent people in the name of Islam” are “apostates” and “not real Muslims.”
o In 2005, “high-ranking Muslim clerics” confirmed “that those who carry out suicide bombings cannot be treated as apostates and remain Muslims.”[2]
o In 2006 a high-ranking scholar, Dr. Mohammad Rafat Othman, of Al-Azhar seminary in Egypt stated: “Those using suicide bombing against the enemy, the land robbers, and the occupier of nations, are martyrs.”[3]
► America is “a nation that is beset by people who are suicidal maniacs and want to kill countless innocent men, women and children around the world,” as politician Fred Thompson put it in May 2007. Yet right in the midst of Americans are a significant percentage of Muslim-Americans admitting that they cheer on the suicidal maniacs. The nineteen 9/11 hijackers were essentially suicide bombers, and many Muslims rejoiced when over them. Of course, this is to be expected since Islamic doctrine splits the world into the Domain of War (Dar al-Harb) and the Domain of Islam (Dar al-Islam), and American-Muslims just happen to be living behind enemy lines in Dar al-Harb.
► The pollsters would be shocked to learn that a main reason why more polled Muslims did not approve of suicide-bombings has nothing to do with the bodycount, but whether and when it is permissible for a Muslim to kill himself in order to kill the enemy. In other words, if the pollsters had asked about non-suicidal terrorism to defend Islam, many more Muslims than the 13% would have said it was justified.
► When Al-Akhras says Islam condemns “terrorism,” he has in mind cops and robbers type criminal activity since, after all, the Koran commands Jihad until all religions are for Allah. This is why Muslims say Allah Akbar! (Allah is Great!) when committing acts of terrorism, because to them their deeds are the Jihad commanded in the Koran.
► Apologists for Islam claim that terrorism has nothing to do with Islam. In fact, Muslims want the media to never use the words “Islamic terrorism” together in the same sentence. Yet polls show that the more people identify themselves as Muslim (e.g., “I’m Muslim first, American second”), the more they thought suicide-bombing was justified, as the Pew Research poll concluded:
...younger Muslims in the US are more likely than older Muslim Americans to express a strong sense of Muslim identity, and are much more likely to say that suicide bombing in the defense of Islam can be at least sometimes justified.
► When Al-Akhras says terrorism is a “sin” according to Islam, he would rather have non-Muslims not know that Allah and Muslims are all too quick to forgive the “sin” of “targeting civilians.” In other words, it is a trivial and venial sin in Islam rather than a cardinal sin, and Al-Akhras’ omitting this fact is rather sly of him. As proof of this contention:
o The Columbus Dispatch reported that Muslims have no problem approving of this particular “sin”:
In surveys Pew conducted last year, support [for suicide-bombings] in some Muslim countries exceeded 50 percent, while it was considered justifiable by about one in four Muslims in Britain and Spain, and one in three in France.
o One will rarely find any Muslim who would condemn or pronounce takfir (excommunication) on terrorists or terrorist groups by name (e.g., Osama bin Laden, Al-Qaeda, Hamas), even though the people these groups kill the most are civilians.
o Even though Muslims overwhelmingly say they object to killing civilians, many of these same Muslims cheer on terrorist groups that do just that year after year. The WorldPublicOpinion.org poll dated 24 Jan 2007 says:
Militant Islamic Groups and Terrorism Iranians, like Americans, are concerned about terrorism and reject Osama bin Laden overwhelmingly. Iranians are considerably less concerned than Americans about al Qaeda and other Islamist militant groups, however, and majorities have positive views of Hamas and Hezbollah. Iranians overwhelmingly reject attacks intentionally aimed at civilians, including those targeting Americans. Americans concur though the percentage of Iranians who reject such attacks is somewhat higher than the percentage of Americans who do so. A modest majority of Iranians, however, make an exception for some Palestinian attacks against Israeli civilians. Americans do not make such an exception for Israeli attacks on Palestinians....
o Many Muslims think that suicide bombing is such a trivial sin that they contend that so-called Islamophobia is worse than terrorism, as Arab News reported in May 2007:
Foreign ministers of the Organization of the Islamic Conference (OIC) yesterday expressed grave concern at the rising tide of discrimination and intolerance against Muslims, especially in Europe and North America…the foreign ministers termed Islamophobia the worst form of terrorism and called for practical steps to counter it.
Case #2: Infidels Supposedly Have Nothing to Fear from Muslims, Yet Muslims Inexplicably Fear Being Takfired, That Is, Being Declared Infidels
Muslims say that infidels have nothing to fear from Muslims, and those that fear Muslims are Islamophobes. When Muslims are confronted with polls showing just how radical Muslims are, the typical response is that this has nothing to do with Islam, but rather it is always the infidels’ fault for making life hard for Muslims somehow. For instance, when asked about the PewResearch poll in May 2007 that said 13% (or 305,500) of America’s 2.35m Muslims say suicide-bombing is justified…
…Jordan Robinson, 22, a Muslim from Gahanna, said the survey shows most American Muslims are ‘mainstream’ but that it points out a need to address the grievances of young Muslims.
Infidels are supposed to be satisfied with Muslim fatwas against terrorism even though:
► A close reading shows they are shot through with weasel words, loopholes, and takkiya fibbing. Even if these fatwas were ironclad, Muslims generally do not honor any religious statements in languages other than Arabic. However, since these fatwas are merely meant for infidel consumption, they are rendered in English and never translated into Arabic.
► The highest authorities of Islam, such as at the Al-Azhar Seminary in Cairo, have already said that suicide-bombers were martyrs, and suicide-bombings were justified, so all the fatwas issued by lesser authorities in the West have no value except for fooling the infidels.
► There is no school of Islamic thought, no respected medieval or modern Islamic treatise, nor any Muslim sect, that “reject the proposition that the umma must wage war in order to establish Sharia.” This is why non-Muslim apologists for Islam like Karen Armstrong are so useful for Islamists because she provided the tome that whitewashes Islam, the tome they themselves could not write for fear of being declared heretics or apostates and then killed by takfiris. The all-too-grateful Muslim Public Affairs Council of Los Angeles gave Armstrong a media award in 1999 for biography on Muhammad.
Sunnis have long taught that Shiites are infidels, and vice versa. A takfari is one who declares Muslims to infidels, either individually or by sect. Muslims say that infidels are supposed to satisfied that they are safe from harm based on fatwas. If infidels have nothing to fear, why does it concern Sunnis at all that Shiites think of them as infidels, and vice versa?
For their mutual protection against being takfired, Sunnis and Shiites signed agreements not to declare each other infidels. The fact that Sunnis and Shiites removed themselves from harm’s way worsens the situation for the remaining infidels because now Jihadists have fewer targets to go after. The Associated Press reported in May 2007:
With sectarian divisions fueling violence in Iraq, Sunnis and Shiites in the U.S. are increasingly wary of a spillover effect. In one public example, leaders from both traditions have launched ‘Intra-faith Code of Honor’ campaigns in three cities with major Muslim populations.
So far, 20 Sunni and Shiite leaders in Southern California have signed the first such code. The document denounces ‘takfir’—the labeling of another Muslim as a nonbeliever—forbids hateful speech about revered figures and urges debates at the scholarly level, not the street level. Similar agreements are expected to be completed this month in Detroit and Washington, D.C….
Another concern is keeping virulently sectarian literature from the Middle East out of American mosques. ‘As much as we can make clear the Muslim-American identity is not a natural extension of the Middle East, the better off we’ll be,’ he said….
In the Detroit area—home to the nation’s largest concentration of Muslims—Shiites blamed Sunnis for vandalism at Shiite-affiliated mosques and businesses after the execution of Saddam Hussein, a Sunni who repressed the Shiite majority in Iraq….
At the same time, intra-faith efforts can address the graver problem of anti-Muslim sentiment, he said. Bias incidents against Muslims including harassment, violence and discrimination rose nearly one-third last year to a 12-year high, according to the Council on American-Islamic Relations. ‘Shiites and Sunnis need to work together so we can face our joint challenges,’ Qazwini said.
Ihsan Bagby, an associate professor of Islamic studies at the University of Kentucky, said challenges posed by the terrorist attacks, the first Gulf War and the ongoing war in Iraq have united Sunni and Shiites in the US more than divided them. ‘There’s never really been a very strong ecumenical movement in Islamic history that has really tried to forge understanding,’ he said. ‘Maybe this is the beginning of it.’
So here’s is what can be gathered from the above report:
► Muslims know that Muslims treat infidels badly, as in terrorism, ethnic cleansing, wars, etc. So Shiites want Sunnis to think of Shiites as fellow Muslims, and vice versa. So the practice of takfir is being banned, and literature inciting sectarian violence is banned. By contrast, even after mosques are shown to have literature and sermons inciting hatred against Americans, Israelis, Russians, and others, there is no effort, and no promises are made, to rid mosques, madrasas and Muslim schools of such literature and sermons. So, it seems that regular infidels will just have to get accustomed to being shot at and blown up by organized Jihadists, freelancers, and Sudden Jihadists.
► Because Muslims know that there will hardly be any backlash over terrorism against regular infidels, regular infidels will just have to make do with hollow Muslim fatwas against terrorism. Robert Spencer wrote:
…neither the CAIR nor the MPAC website contains any announcement about any program or initiative of any kind designed to lessen support for suicide bombing and Al-Qaeda within the Muslim community in America.
By contrast, Sunnis and Shiites are well aware that with Muslims, everything is eye-for-eye, and tooth-for-tooth, so the situation in America could deteriorate quickly into tit-for-tat car bombings and suicide vest bombings like in Iraq and Pakistan. That is why there was this special effort to come to an accord between Shiites and Sunnis, and even agree to ban certain cherished literature.
► When there was a conflict between Sunni Mu’awiya and Shiite Imam Hasan in 661 AD over the caliphate, they signed a peace agreement, reportedly so as not to weaken Islam in the face of the great Byzantine threat. Today, Sunnis and Shiites would fight each other in the West if they were not vastly outnumbered by non-Muslims in the West. Moreover, they say they must join forces to fight “the graver problem” of Islamophobia and hate crimes (see above article). Once Muslims gain ascendancy anywhere though, all such feigned comradeship will dissipate just as occurs between Sunnis and Shiites in Iran, Pakistan and Yemen.
► Protestants and Catholics fought each other during the Thirty-Years-War, and have not fought much since. By contrast, Sunnis and Shiites have been at each other’s throats ever since 680 AD. In 2007, in America, comes the very first time they have attempted any type of voluntary rapprochement. If that does not say “war-god religion,” than what does?
B. Demographic Jihad Explained
Demographic Jihad is not exactly the classic Jihad warfare as practiced by Muslims for over 1350 years. Discussion on that can be found at Jihad Watch under the Islam 101 section, and in the “Islam for Infidels” guide by Hugh Fitzgerald. Demographic Jihad is, instead, the effort to establish hegemony over a region by all methods short of a classic Jihad.
The Demographic Jihad effort can extend over a period of a century or more, and uses a long list of legal (Lawful Islamism) and illegal methods. New methods and initiatives are being implemented every month.
The legal methods of Demographic Jihad include immigration, large family sizes, conversion of the natives through evangelism (Arabic: dawa), and a long process of quiet and not-so-quiet ethnic cleansing.
When Muslim numbers are small:
► Muslims try to align themselves with dominant groups in order to gain influence and shield Muslims against inevitable critics and against the possibility of deportation from the country.
► Muslims start suppressing free speech by charging their critics with hate-speech, racism and homophobia. This causes their critics to shy away for fear that their academic and social life or earning power will suffer. It also emboldens Muslim and non-Muslim apologists for Islam, especially those looking for prestige and those who are out for a quick buck and their fifteen minutes of fame.
► If racism and homophobia are not already actionable offenses under the law, Muslims work to enact hate-speech laws in order to prosecute critics they cannot silence in other ways.
► Muslims work to make every aspect of society and culture Sharia-compliant, from newspaper cartoons to banks.
Demographic Jihad is a frontal attack on non-Muslim culture that has developed over thousands of years. The Wall Street Journal reported that eminent scholar Bernard Lewis said:
The Islamic world, he said, was now attacking the West using two tactics: terrorism and migration. He listed ideological fervor and demography as two of the chief strengths that the Muslim world had in its favor in its face-off against the West, but fell short of offering any prescriptions for what Europe should do to stem the flow of immigrants from North Africa, South Asia and the Middle East.[4]
The ethnic cleansing aspect of Demographic Jihad proceeds mosque by mosque, street corner by street corner, and by block, neighborhood, suburb, city, region and nation. The ethnic cleansing involves all age groups, especially the youth since they are youthful and not subject to as stringent penalties as adults.
The ethnic cleansing usually starts as name-calling, bullying, and taunting of moderate Muslims, aka hypocrites, as the Koran calls them:
Truly, if the hypocrites, and those in whose hearts is a disease, and those who stir up sedition in the city [Madina], desist not, We [Allah] shall certainly stir thee up against them: Then will they not be able to stay in it as thy neighbors for any length of time (K 033:060).
After the moderate Muslims are driven from the mosque and Muslim neighborhood and the mosque is radicalized, then radical Muslims take on the infidels. Youths and adults engage in Jihad crime against non-Muslims as a form of Jihad and looting. If infidels do not get the message and leave Muslim territory, it is open season on infidels who can be murdered and otherwise terrorized until they flee.
The rate at which Demographic Jihad occurs must be low enough so that it looks like a crime wave to those uninitiated in Islam. Thus, Imams preach against terrorism in order to apply the brakes to Jihad so their denials of Jihad are still plausible to the authorities and the media who want to be fooled.
After a neighborhood goes entirely Muslim, then it generally becomes a no-go area for infidels. Just one of the many reasons infidels don’t want to live around Muslims is they know of all the wife beating that is sanctioned by Allah (K 004:003). The police, ambulances, firefighters and city contractors who work on the city infrastructure enter no-go areas at their own risk and often require back-up units. The infidel children are beaten up and have their bikes stolen, adults are roughed up, and infidels businesses are boycotted.
Europe is already segregating on a neighborhood basis with hundreds of no-go areas in France, and many in Sweden, Norway, Germany, Londonistan, Denmark and the Netherlands. Israel has no-go areas where no Jews feel safe going. In Britain, Spiegel reports:
In Blackburn and Preston, increasing numbers of neighborhoods have become exclusively Muslim, and the growing influence of the conservative Wahhabi school of Islam is more and more apparent among women who wear black robes and cover all but their eyes.[5]
What is occurring in Europe is just a Demographic Jihad rerun of what occurred in the Mideast for the last 1350 years. Current examples of slow-motion ethnic cleansing can be seen in Kosovo (see the Kosovo section), Nazareth (see the Israel section), Bethlehem (see the Palestine section), and any other place where infidels were no longer wanted. For example:
► In Stockholm in 2005, five veiled Muslim girls, aged 17 and 18, attacked 15 elderly women in their 70s and 80s, stealing their purses. One 71-year-old was pushed down a flight of steps, and a 78-year-old woman was pushed to the ground and kicked. One woman had snow shoved in her mouth until she let go of her handbag.
► UK Home Secretary John Reid went to talk to Muslims in East London, an Islamist heckled him saying, “How dare you come to a Muslim area.” “The Bishop of London says inner London will have a Muslim majority by 2020.”
► A 76-year-old man walked into Oldham in Greater Manchester, and three Pakistani youths told him, “Get out of our area,” before brutally beating him.
“White Flight” has already been observed in Europe, with expatriates moving to Australia, Canada and elsewhere, and many Jews are making Aliya to Israel. Daniel Pipes wrote about how this type of treatment will eventually cause more Europeans to flee:
Some 5% of the E.U., or nearly 20m persons, presently identify themselves as Muslims; should current trends continue, that number will reach 10% by 2020. If non-Muslims flee the new Islamic order, as seems likely, the continent could be majority-Muslim within decades.
Muslims talk about the Demographic Jihad against Europe. For instance, Mark Steyn quoted Colonel Muammar Qaddafi who said:
There are signs that Allah will grant Islam victory in Europe—without swords, without guns, without conquests. The 50m Muslims of Europe [sic] will turn it into a Muslim continent within a few decades.
Oslo’s Aftenposten reported the words of Mullah Krekar:
‘We’re the ones who will change you,’ Krekar told Norwegian newspaper Dagbladet in his first interview since an uproar broke out [in 2006] over [Danish Muhammad] cartoons deemed offensive to Muslims.
‘Just look at the development within Europe, where the number of Muslims is expanding like mosquitoes,’ Krekar said. ‘Every western woman in the EU is producing an average of 1.4 children. Every Muslim woman in the same countries is producing 3.5 children. By 2050, 30% of the population in Europe will be Muslim.’
He claimed that ‘our way of thinking... will prove more powerful than yours.’ He loosely defined ‘western thinking’ as formed by the values held by leaders of western or non-Islamic nations. Its ‘materialism, egoism and wildness’ has altered Christianity, he claimed.
Pinhas Inbari of The Jerusalem Center for Public Affair wrote about the Demographic Jihad occurring in the Holy Land:
While one cannot claim that Fatah is a religious movement, it has strong Muslim features. Its military wing is the ‘Al-Aqsa Martyrs Brigade,’ whose military announcements are heavily laced with Koranic verses identical to those used by Hizbullah, according to which ‘the weakest on the face of the earth’ will become strong and inherit ‘and become the imams—the rulers’ [K 028:005]. This is the verse that Fatah leader Yasser Arafat chose to cite when he first entered Gaza in 1994 after the Oslo agreements.
Later Arafat explained just how Allah was making the weak stronger, as Sylvana Foa reported:
‘The womb of the Arab woman,’ Arafat says smugly, promising ultimate victory over the Jews, ‘is my strongest weapon.’
Muslims generally are glad to help Aussies out with their population problem, as the Sunday Herald Sun reported:
A Sunday Herald Sun investigation also found clerics railing against ‘evil’ democracy, vilifying Jews and Christians and encouraging jihad and polygyny. Many CDs and DVDs there feature London sheik Abdul Raheem Green, who is on an Australian Government watch list. On one, he tells his audience to Islamize Australia through a Muslim baby boom.
‘The birth rate in the Western countries is going down. People are more interested in their careers . . . they don’t want to have babies,’ Sheik Green says in one DVD. ‘So don’t you think, Muslim brothers and sisters, we’ve got a bit of an opportunity here? They’re not having babies any more. So what if, instead, we have the babies?
‘In Canada one in three or one in four children being born is a Muslim. What does that do to the demographic shift of a Muslim population in 20 years’ time?
‘To say I’m going to have two or three children and that’s it—that’s not allowed. The way we overcome the people is through our numbers.’
B. Why This Study Is Important
This study of Muslim demographics attempts to give an idea of what the future holds for the West. People have feared that Western population implosions, combined with burgeoning Muslim multitudes in the West, might actually make some Western countries majority-Muslim. It is also feared that continual spillover of populations from Islamdom will contribute to the Muslim inundation of the West.
Many people are resigned to this fate for the West and will not lift a finger to save Western civilization because they figure the other shoe will fall after their lifetimes. They are like the Israeli king Hezekiah. When he heard the prophecy that Babylonian moon-god worshipers would one day invade Israel and make his sons eunuchs in the Babylonian court, he was glad because he thought:
Will there not be peace and security in my lifetime? (2Ki 20:18).
For various reasons that will be discussed, it is unlikely that Muslims will become a majority in any Western country for another century. However, long before Muslims become a majority in the West, if they ever do, they can become a major menace if significant numbers of the Muslim diaspora become radicalized. Hugh Fitzgerald notes that Muslims, even in small numbers in the West, already present “a permanent danger in their countries,” and
The large-scale presence of Muslims in the Lands of the Infidels has brought about a situation, for those indigenous Infidels (and also for other non-indigenous arrivals, non-Muslim immigrants [and future generations]), that is unpleasant, expensive (the costs of monitoring, the costs of security, spiraling ever upward), and physically dangerous.
In terms of monitoring Muslims, just the mere tip of the iceberg involves:
► Monitoring mosques across Europe for any sign of Islamic radicalism, as the European Commission is intent on doing starting in May 2007.
► Making sure that Islamic extremists do not try to obtain semi-truck HAZMAT (Hazardous Material) licenses, or passenger-bus or school-bus licenses.
► Keeping nuclear technology from heading to the Mideast. In 2007, a Muslim nuclear engineer working in the US for 30 years took atomic power plant building designs and software to Iran.
► In 2007, special computer-assisted security cameras “have undergone exhaustive tests in Muslim areas of London, Bradford, Luton and other Midland cities” in the UK. As noted a page ago, “The Bishop of London says inner London will have a Muslim majority by 2020.”
► Muslim-monitoring also includes outreach efforts, as the Washington Post reported:
We’re spending more money on outreach . . . so we can say: ‘Please help us. Please look for people who are turning away from institutions to extremism. Please be our eyes and ears,’ said Philip Mudd, deputy director of the bureau’s national security branch.[6]
The Size of the Minority of Muslims and the Quality of Life Index
Just how many Muslims need there be before life becomes unpleasant? Well, that depends on just what level of unpleasantness one has in mind. Examples follow:
► 1% Muslims, of Whom a Significant Number Tend to be Islamists and Jihadists, Makes Life Unpleasant: Many people consider life in the US to be increasingly unpleasant when compared to life before 9/11, even though Muslims only make up 1% of the US population, because:
o Every week there is news of a terror arrest, trial or conviction in the US, and every few months a Muslim commits a terrorist act big enough to make the news. Law enforcement and the media try to delay mentioning, and even downplay, the jihadist aspect of crimes so Muslim rights groups do not get huffy about profiling and racism. The pretext authorities sometimes give for not mentioning Jihad is that law enforcement does not want to provoke a backlash against Muslims. This excuse is lame since no backlash materialized even after 9/11. Even before 9/11 when there were far fewer Muslims in the US, Islamists killed dozens of Americans in America before 9/11. In 2007, the FBI finally admitted:
The trend we’re seeing is that we are uncovering more instances of people here who have been radicalized…where there is not a direct thumbprint of al-Qaida.[7]
o Freedom of travel has been impeded, even within US borders, especially at airports. Now travelers must dispense with sharp objects that could be used in hijackings, as well as beverages that could be liquid explosives. Passengers must also take off their shoes so the shoes can be x-ray scanned.
o One realizes that we are in a 1350-year-old war with the implacable foe of Islam, and the stakes are just as big as they were in the wars against the ideologies of fascism and Communism. This war must be won if not for us, than for future generations.
o Freedom of speech rights are curtailed as all casual and off-hand statements about Islam must be politically correct lest one risk being labeled a racist or colleagues fear that one is calling down the ire of Muslims.
o Authorities and civil rights groups swarm over trivial incidents where non-Muslims refuse to be Sharia-compliant, thereby super-empowering, and making the world safe and welcoming for, Islamists. For instance, in Apr 2007, as a gag joke, a middle school (i.e. 12- to 13-year old) “white student” placed a ham sandwich in a bag on the cafeteria table where Somali students were eating. The Lewiston Maine Sun Journal called it a “hate crime,” the student was suspended from school pending disciplinary action for the “hate incident,” and the police were called in to investigate. Additionally, Stephen Wessler at the Center for Prevention of Hate Violence said the act was “extraordinarily hurtful and degrading” to Muslims, and that “It’s important to respond swiftly” to the “awful” deed.
o One sees that more and more foreign aid, foreign policy and military commitments are no longer decided upon based on national interest, but increasingly are geared to appease and contain Muslims, foreign and domestic.
o Every infidel’s civic responsibility now is to make life as pleasant as possible for Muslims in the hope that fewer Muslims will decide to go out hunting infidels to obtain 72 virgins in the celestial garden of Janna. Whenever Muslims do take the 72-virgins option though, infidels must worry not about further Jihad, but rather about an imminent backlash against Muslims that never seems to materialize as expected. Infidels must also blame those who are skeptical about Islam really being a religion of peace for maligning Muslims, thereby driving them to terrorism in the first place. Also, infidels must accept blame for not adequately jihad-proofing society via gun-control legislation and enforcement. For instance:
§ In 1997 when Palestinian Ali Hassan Abu Kamal shot several people atop of the Empire State Building, he carried a note saying it was for revenge against the US, “France and England for using Israel as ‘an instrument’ against Palestinians.” Yet, at a news conference in 1997, City of NY mayor Rudolph Giuliani (mayor 1994–2001), “attempted to shift the focus toward gun control” by blaming the US for not being completely Jihad-proof[8] and implied that Kamal was insane. Giuliani said Kamal was a “man who had many, many enemies in his mind.” In 2007 Kamal’s daughter Linda came out to set the record straight, and said that her father was a “martyr.”
Ironically, in May 2007 when a Turk, a Jordanian, and 3 Bosnian refugees, who had lived in America for 6 to 23 years, plotted attacks on America, Pasquale D’Amuro, the FBI’s counterterrorism chief in 2002 and 2003, and CEO of Giuliani Security and Safety in New York City, said cluelessly—as though he has no familiarity with traditional Islam, Jihad doctrine, and the Koran and Hadith:
That they would come here, be welcomed and then want to attack us–that’s what people have a hard time understanding.[9]
Gun bans are misguided because mass-murderers purposely go to gun-free zones such as malls, schools and amusement parks to avoid anyone who might have a concealed weapon. Then after the police arrive at a massacre, murderers shoot themselves or commit suicide-by-cop. Gun-ban advocates create vulnerable gun-free zones. Then when these places are shot up, they argue for even wider gun-bans, as though mass murderers couldn’t evade gun-control laws, or wouldn’t resort to killing with diesel and fertilizer bombs if guns were out-of-reach. Moreover, just as would-be mass-murderers are attracted to gun-free zones, would-be dictators cannot pass up gun-free countries.
§ In 1999, Ghazi Ibrahim Abu Maizar was arrested in Brooklyn before he could carry out his terrorist attack, yet the newspapers barely mentioned that his notes indicate he was targeting Jews and Americans. His case was treated just like the earlier Kamal case just discussed, and dozens of other terrorism cases, as Daniel Pipes noted.
§ In Feb 2007 Bosnian refugee Sulejman Talovic, or Suljo Talovic, hunted and killed five infidels in a Utah shopping mall before an off-duty police officer shot him. The family buried him back in Bosnia where photos show 300 family members, locals and people from nearby towns who came on buses to attend the funeral. Why? They wanted to touch the revered jihadist’s forehead to obtain blessings from Allah, as is Muslim custom—a la the “car swarms” in Palestine each time terrorists are killed by Israelis in cars and pickups. Standing beside the color-of-Islam green headstone that sported a crescent-and-star couplet, his father blamed Utah for not being Jihad-proof. The father said this no doubt so he and the mosque would not be investigated:
The authorities are guilty for not alerting us that he bought a gun. In the US, you cannot buy cigarettes if you are under-aged, but you can buy a gun.[10]
► 1% Muslims, of Whom a Significant Number Tend to be Islamists and Jihadists, Ends Golden-eras For Jews:
o Daniel Pipes wrote that due to Muslim immigration into the US, and radicalization there, the Golden Era for US Jewry has ended. Jews now feel personal and group insecurity, and must hire guards for any sizable event just as Jews overseas have been doing for years.
o There been many anti-semitic assaults on the persons of Jews in the US, as well as threats and harassment, and their properties have been vandalized. Moreover, there have been many terrorist plots and attacks against Jews in America in the last few decades.
► 3% Muslims, of Whom a Significant Number Tend to be Islamists and Jihadists, Results in Marked Decline in Public Safety for Everyone
Baron Bodissey quotes a reader from Germany:
Here are reports of a typical day’s worth of Muslim crime in Berlin in particular, with one example from Munich. The point to keep in mind is that before the Muslims were here, this was a very safe city, and knife and gun attacks were very rare. It’s amazing to see the decline in public safety that has accompanied the Islamization of Germany. We still don’t have the problems that the Brits and the French have in their public housing complexes, but I think that’s just a question of time.
► 6.25% Muslims, of Whom a Significant Number Tend to be Islamists and Jihadists, Makes Native Non-Muslims Feel Like Foreigners in Their Own Country: Tourists often feel a certain level of personal insecurity because they are foreigners in a foreign land. In the Netherlands, every 16th person is Muslim, which adds up to 6.25%. This gives some natives there the feeling that they are tourists in their own country. Netherlands Freedom Party (PVV) PM Geert Wilders said that Islam is…
…the greatest danger threatening us…Everything we are proud of, we are selling to the devil. Former head of the Mossad Efraim Halevy says that World War III has begun. I would not use those words, but it’s true. [Wilders fears a] tsunami of Islamization in the Netherlands…Take a walk down the street and see where this is going. You no longer feel like you are living in your own country. There is a battle going on and we have to defend ourselves. Before you know it there will be more mosques than churches!
In France, between the end of 2000 and 2001, during the Intifada raging back in Palestine, Jews sustained 450 antisemitic attacks, mainly from Muslims. When they complained about their situation, they were “rudely rebuffed, charged with provocation and racism. They felt they had been abandoned by the government and left in a suddenly foreign society.”[11]
UK natives report that in the presence of so many foreigners, especially Muslims, the UK is increasingly becoming Balkanized. Many native Brits are self-identifying as English, Scottish, Welsh or Irish, and people have taken to calling themselves as “Indigenous British” to differentiate themselves from immigrants. One moderate Muslim said, “Here in Britain, native Brits squirm about Britishness, no one can define what it means.”
When natives no longer feel patriotism and nationalism, and when they do not feel at home in their own country, many emigrate to places where it is perceived there are fewer Muslims. In other words, natives will trade that “at home” feeling for the feeling of long-term safety and belonging somewhere. Several countries in Europe are already experiencing White Flight; as Muslims move in, the natives move out to the countryside or out of the country entirely. White Flight is discussed later in this study.
► 10% or a “Critical Mass” of Muslims, of Whom a Significant Number Tend to be Islamists and Jihadists, Makes Life Untenable For Non-Muslims: France is 10% Muslim and has 6.2m Muslims according to the CIA Factbook (2006). Professor Raphael Israeli, an Israeli Jewish expert on Islam said that now that France is 10% Muslim, the…
When the Muslim population gets to a critical mass you have problems. That is a general rule, so if it applies everywhere it applies in Australia….French people say they are strangers in their own country. This [10%] is a point of no return. If you are on a collision course, what can you do? You can’t put them all in prison, and anyway they are not all violent. You can’t send them all back. You are really in trouble. It’s irreversible.[12]
Haaretz reported in Apr 2007:
…the millions of Algerians, Moroccans and Tunisians who have emigrated to France in the past 50 years, reaching a critical mass that no one in France can ignore….In the past year surveys have shown that nearly half of the French secretly agree with the opinions of Jean-Marie Le Pen. Nearly half feel that the country has been stolen by the ‘non-French’ and half feel their personal security has declined because of these ‘non-French.’[13]
In Oct-Nov 2005, French Muslims rioted for eighteen days in 300 French cities, torching 10k autos and a few buses, and causing 210m Euros ($242m USD) in structural damage.[14] The International Herald Tribune commented:
…The outcome of an investigation is keenly awaited in the suburbs. If the police are exonerated, it could trigger new unrest.[15]
So not only were the police blamed for the massive riots, but in 2007 Muslims presented a long list of demands to presidential candidates, and most presidential hopefuls signed the document, essentially buying into the logic that Muslims rioted because they were underprivileged and their existence was not subsidized by the government enough. So to sum the situation up, the Muslims went on a Jihad in Oct-Nov 2005 against French police and state “oppression,” and now have obtained their loot by imposing a Jizya tax treaty on the People of the Book (K 009:029).
In Israel, Arabs (the vast majority of whom are Muslim) are 16.5% of the total population in 2007, according to Israel’s Central Bureau of Statistics.[16] Ha’aretz reported that many Israeli Jews have a perpetual fear of a Muslim uprising, and consider many cities in Israel to be virtual no-go zones:
68.4% of Israeli Jews fear a civil uprising on behalf of Israeli Arabs and 63.3% say they won’t enter Arab towns in Israel, according to the results of the 2006 index of Jewish-Arab relations released on Monday.[17]
Also, Arab gays cannot congregate anywhere except in Jewish areas. This explains why many, perhaps a majority of Israelis have guns at home and carry guns occasionally when the threat of violence is up.
► 10% Muslims, of Whom a Significant Number Tend to be Islamists and Jihadists, is “Ruinous” for Jews in France: The ADL says anti-Jewish violence has “tended to originate chiefly among Muslim immigrant circles in Europe, with extreme right groups jumping on the bandwagon.” Stephen M. Steinlight wrote:
[In 2004 CNN] reported that violent attacks on Jews in Paris come at the average rate of 12 a day….current [US] immigration policy will prove politically and existentially ruinous to the American-Jewish community, as it has for the Jews of France, and will inevitably for the Jews of Britain [The UK is 2.8% Muslim, or 1.6m], indeed, throughout Western Europe. There is particular fear about the impact on Jewish life and security…[18]
Not surprisingly, many of the 700k Jews in France are moving to the US, Israel and elsewhere. Ilana Mercer wrote:
In Europe, what remains of a Jewry devastated by the Holocaust comes under daily assaults and threats, mostly from the 20m-strong Muslim community. American Jewry is next.[19]
► 20% Muslims, of Whom a Significant Number Tend to be Islamists and Jihadists, Is Enough For Muslims to Set Up Paramilitary Groups
Any number of Muslims can set up terrorist cells and groups, but in developed countries it might take 20% before larger paramilitary groups are possible:
o The CIA Factbook reported that Muslims are 20% in Benin. Missionaries in southern Benin report that Muslims from northern Benin were coming south to burn down their churches and schools.
o Muslims make up 5% of the EU populace, and one study says that by 2020 the EU will be 10% Muslim.[20] People have noted that the increase in Muslim populations led to conflicts in the Balkans and Beirut (see the Kosovo and Lebanon sections). Philip Jenkins wrote:
It is quite conceivable that inter-religious violence could erupt in Europe itself; we might even imagine Muslim paramilitary groups waging religious war on French and German soil…by 2050.[21]
o One can see it starting already. In France, they had the Oct-Nov 2005 riots in 300 cities where many buildings were burned. In Bulgaria, where nearly 1m Muslims are 12.2% of the population, four Muslims were arrested in Feb 2007 for setting up a website calling for violent Jihad to overthrow the Bulgarian state, and then impose Sharia law.
o For more on this topic, see the Table of Contents for the section on the Eurabian Civil War.
► A “Plurality” of Muslims, of Whom a Significant Number Tend to be Islamists and Jihadists, Makes Daily Life Grim: Daniel Pipes notes that a majority Muslim population is not needed to make life unpleasant for non-Muslims; just a plurality will do that. A plurality as used here means that Islam is the largest religion within a nation’s borders. He wrote:
Wherever Muslims form a plurality of the population, the life of non-Muslims tends to be grim. In some part, this results from the laws of Islam, which disdain and purposefully oppress the non-believer.
Terror incidents, such as 9/11 in NY, 3/11 in Madrid, 7/7 and 7/21 in London, the assassinations of Pym Fortune and Theo Van Gogh, the cartoon crisis of 2006, and the outrage over the Pope’s statement in 2006, have awakened many people up to the idea that Muslims are going to be a menace sooner rather than later. This awakening has led a few commentators and politicians to stand firm and resist Islamist demands, but most still capitulate and attempt to appease Islamists. Here are examples:
► Jens Orback, Democracy Minister in the Swedish said during a radio debate:
We must be open and tolerant towards Islam and Muslims because when we become a minority, they will be so towards us.
► Spiegel described Europe during the Cartoon crisis:
As was the case in the 1930s, when Czechoslovakia was sacrificed in the interest of peace under the Munich Agreement—a move that ultimately did nothing to prevent World War II—Europeans today also believe that an adversary, seemingly invincible due to a preference for death over life, can be mollified by good behavior, concessions and submission. All the Europeans can hope to gain in this asymmetric conflict is a temporary reprieve, a honeymoon period that could last 10, 20, or maybe even 50 years. Anyone on death row breathes a sigh of relief when his execution is postponed to some indefinite time in the future.[22]
The West needs to keep Islamists out of the West even if that means ending Muslim immigration altogether, since:
► No one has a magic decoder ring that discerns which Muslim will turn radical or which Muslims will have children or make converts who end up turning radical.
► Even more worrisome is the fact that police are finding out that even in the case of well-adjusted Muslims, the radicalization or jihadization process can be quick. Hugh Fitzgerald opined on the subject:
…those who do not take the texts seriously are not ‘moderate’ Muslims but essentially bad Muslims, unobservant Muslims, Muslims who do not really believe. And there are far fewer of these than most non-Muslims assume. They are always open to the possibility of relapse, and certainly their progeny are, so that Infidels cannot base their own security and that of their institutions on the ‘hope’ that those ‘moderate’—i.e., bad—Muslims will never change their minds, and that their children will continue in the same vein.
That is a wager that Infidels should not be asked to make: to bet their physical safety and that of their children and grandchildren, and that of their societies on those moderates. For those Infidel societies are already in various states of confusion and disarray, and are facing all kinds of problems. Such a bet could allow them to be done in by this Total Belief-System that originated 1350 years ago as an ideology, compounded of bits and pieces, distorted or misremembered, of both Judaism and Christianity, and with an admixture of pre-Islamic Arab paganism. No. That should not be expected of us, the Infidels. We are not ready to concede or commit suicide.
The West also must support moderate Muslims leaders against Islamists in Islamdom. I’ll let history make my point: US President Jimmy Carter did not support the Shah of Iran in 1979 and Khoemeni came to power. Now less than 30 years later Iran is threatening nuclear holocaust for Israel. Ed Koch backs up my point:
…the US alone now stands between a radical Islamic takeover of many of the world’s governments in the next 30 or more years.[23]
Of course, the West ought not just throw money at the problem since that can make the problem worse, and Muslims treat the money like Jizya tribute and protection racket money (K 009:029). For instance, the US has been giving the Jordanian, Egyptian and Palestinian governments 2b dollars per year ever since 1974; nevertheless, the vast majority of these three populaces dislike the US and Israel tend toward Islamic radicalism. Polls show that if they had representational voting, Jordanians, Egyptians and Palestinians would vote in Islamic radical governments immediately (the Palestinians did just that in 2006 by voting Hamas into power). Nevertheless, the US dares not cut off all hope of their gaining US tribute money for fear of the consequences.
Some say that the Islamists are only popular because of 9/11 and the West’s supposed war on Islam. This is a big mistake since Islamists have long been popular throughout Islamdom. The only thing that held Islamists back has been secular dictators in places like Turkey, Egypt, and Indonesia. For example, when Indonesian dictator Suharto’s power ended in 1998, Islamists started wearing headscarves, were voted into legislatures, and creeping Sharia-ization of the society began in earnest. 1998 is three years before 9/11, of course. Adnkronos International reported:
Radical tendencies however emerged at the same time as the country returned to democracy in 1998.
C. Arriving at Accurate Demographic Snapshots and Projections
The Muslim and Christian share of the world’s population is increasing at the expense of the share of other religions—there could be no other way about it, of course. This article attempts to bring data together from various sources so the reader can get the big picture.
The three main sources of statistics are: the CIA Factbook, the 2006 State Department Religious Freedom Report, and Wikipedia. I consider the State Dept report to be most up-to-date, reliable and detailed. The CIA Factbook is unbiased, but not quite so up-to-date and detailed as the State Dept report, in my opinion. Wikipedia is a convenient source of public data.
In this study, first a global synopsis is presented and then each region is discussed in more detail.
Data on the religion of birth parents is not kept for entire countries, so columnists apply the sketchy inner city data to cover the entire country. Based on their extrapolations, alarmists say that France, Spain, Germany, the Netherlands and other European countries will be majority Muslim by 2025, 2036, 2050 or 2100.
The problem with many of these projections is that minorities and immigrants tend to congregate in rundown inner cities. If populations trends from US inner city maternity wards in the 1950s and 1960s were projected outward as is being done for Muslims in Europe, people would have said that American would be majority Black by, say, 2000. Instead, the largest US minority is now Hispanic.
Columnists similarly cite how certain Muslim countries like Yemen have high birth rates and imply that this is indicative across the region, or for all of Islamdom. Then they project that Islam will isolate the West, if not overtake West, leaving the Christian superpower, America, to single-handedly protect the last vestiges of Western civilization.
But the Malthusian projections fail to take into account the fact that countries with high birth rates tend to have small populations, and such a high b